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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Liniers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw34%
Away win31%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win34% selection probability
Projected score1–1Defensores UnidosDeportivo Liniers
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under76% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 34% / 31%Match resultHome win34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Liniers win (31.3%)Double chance1X68.7%1.46
Over 24% · Under 76%Goals 2.5Under76%1.32
Yes 33% · No 67%Both teams scoreNo67%1.49
1.70 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Defensores Unidos win34%2.94
Draw34%2.94
Deportivo Liniers win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensores Unidos0.89

Home share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 24% · Under 76%

Deportivo Liniers0.81

Away share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 33% · No 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Defensores Unidos

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Deportivo Liniers

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
31%
2
Points from supplied form
3
0.89
Expected goals
0.81
Defensores UnidosDeportivo Liniers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensores Unidos signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Liniers signalAway matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Liniers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensores Unidos win 34%,Draw 34%,Deportivo Liniers win 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Over 2.5 24% · Current selection Under