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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Fixture ·

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw32%
Away win35%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Expected goals2.07Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 32% / 35%Match resultAway win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.8%)Double chance1268.2%1.47
Over 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.07 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Argentino Quilmes win34%2.94
Draw32%3.13
Real Pilar win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Quilmes1.02

Home share of expected goals 49.3%

Total expected goals2.07Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 34% · Under 66%

Real Pilar1.05

Away share of expected goals 50.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.05
Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Quilmes signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Pilar signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Quilmes win 34%,Draw 32%,Real Pilar win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.07 · Over 2.5 34% · Current selection Under