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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Match ·

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile33%
Nul32%
Victoire à l’extérieur35%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de65% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
33% / 32% / 35%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.7%)Double chance1268.3%1.46
Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%Goals 2.5Moins de65%1.54
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Argentino Quilmes win33%3.03
Nul32%3.13
Real Pilar win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Argentino Quilmes1.02

Domicile share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 35% · Moins de 65%

Real Pilar1.06

Extérieur share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Argentino Quilmes

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Real Pilar

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gagné probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
Argentino QuilmesReal Pilar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Argentino Quilmes signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Pilar signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Argentino Quilmes vs Real Pilar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Argentino Quilmes victoire 33%,Nul 32%,Real Pilar victoire 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Plus de 2.5 35% · Current selection Moins de