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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Мач ·

Аргентино Куилмес vs Реал Пилар

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.08 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен32%
Победа за госта31%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Аргентино КуилмесРеал Пилар
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под65% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 32% / 31%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Реал Пилар win (31.2%)Двоен шанс1X68.8%1.45
Над 35% · Под 65%Goals 2.5Под65%1.54
Да 42% · Не 58%И двата отбора да отбележатНе58%1.72
2.08 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapАргентино Куилмес winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Аргентино Куилмес win36%2.782.4536.6%-0.6 pp
Равен32%3.132.7532.6%-0.6 pp
Реал Пилар win31%3.232.9030.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Аргентино Куилмес1.02

Домакин share of expected goals 49%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 35% · Под 65%

Реал Пилар1.06

Гост share of expected goals 51%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 42% · Не 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Аргентино Куилмес

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Реал Пилар

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.02
Expected goals
1.06
Аргентино КуилмесРеал Пилар
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Аргентино Куилмес signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Реал Пилар signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Аргентино Куилмес vs Реал Пилар FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Аргентино Куилмес печеливш 36%,Равен 32%,Реал Пилар печеливш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Над 2.5 35% · Current selection Под