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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Liniers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.70 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy36%
Remis33%
Wygrana gości31%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Defensores UnidosDeportivo Liniers
Expected goals1.70Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej76% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
36% / 33% / 31%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Liniers win (31.2%)Podwójna szansa1X68.8%1.45
Powyżej 24% · Poniżej 76%Goals 2.5Poniżej76%1.32
Tak 33% · Nie 67%Obie drużyny strzeląNie67%1.49
1.70 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensores Unidos win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp
Remis33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp
Deportivo Liniers win31%3.232.8831.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensores Unidos0.89

Gospodarze share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals1.70Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 24% · Poniżej 76%

Deportivo Liniers0.81

Goście share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 33% · Nie 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Defensores Unidos

0.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkty2

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Deportivo Liniers

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGoście matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
31%
2
Points from supplied form
3
0.89
Expected goals
0.81
Defensores UnidosDeportivo Liniers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensores Unidos signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Liniers signalGoście matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Liniers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensores Unidos wygrana 36%,Remis 33%,Deportivo Liniers wygrana 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.70 · Powyżej 2.5 24% · Current selection Poniżej