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CSD Flandria vs UAI Urquiza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–01.28 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa38%
Pareggio38%
Vittoria ospite24%
Full model forecastPareggioTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callPareggio38% selection probability
Projected score1–0CSD FlandriaUAI Urquiza
Expected goals1.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto86% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
38% / 38% / 24%Esito partitaPareggio38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UAI Urquiza win (23.8%)Doppia Chance1X76.2%1.31
Sopra 14% · Sotto 86%Goals 2.5Sotto86%1.16
Sì 21% · No 79%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo79%1.27
1.28 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–0
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
CSD Flandria win38%2.63
Pareggio38%2.63
UAI Urquiza win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CSD Flandria0.80

Casa share of expected goals 62.5%

Total expected goals1.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 14% · Sotto 86%

UAI Urquiza0.48

Trasferta share of expected goals 37.5%

Projected score1–0BTTS split 21% · No 79%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

CSD Flandria

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

UAI Urquiza

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punti4

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vinta probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
4
0.80
Expected goals
0.48
CSD FlandriaUAI Urquiza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CSD Flandria signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UAI Urquiza signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 38%.

Match questions

CSD Flandria vs UAI Urquiza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Pareggio · Projected score 1–0 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CSD Flandria vinta 38%,Pareggio 38%,UAI Urquiza vinta 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.28 · Sopra 2.5 14% · Current selection Sotto