Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
34% / 33% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.5%)Doppia Chance1267.5%1.48
Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%Goals 2.5Sotto59%1.69
Sì 47% · No 53%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo53%1.89
2.34 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapSportivo Italiano winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Merlo win34%2.942.6334.3%-0.3 pp
Pareggio33%3.032.7532.8%+0.2 pp
Sportivo Italiano win34%2.942.7532.8%+1.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 42.7%
Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 41% · Sotto 59%
Trasferta share of expected goals 57.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchDeportivo Merlo
DLDWD
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSportivo Italiano
LDWWW
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10
SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
34%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%6
Points from supplied form
101.00
Expected goals
1.34Deportivo MerloSportivo Italiano
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 33%.
Match questions
Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Deportivo Merlo vinta 34%，Pareggio 33%，Sportivo Italiano vinta 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.34 · Sopra 2.5 41% · Current selection Sotto。