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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラBメトロポリターナ · Round 28 ·

デポルティーボ・メルロ vs スポルティーボ・イタリアーノ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.32 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利29%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利40%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–1デポルティーボ・メルロスポルティーボ・イタリアーノ
Expected goals2.32Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
29% / 30% / 40%試合結果アウェイ勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes デポルティーボ・メルロ win (29.4%)ダブルチャンスX270.6%1.42
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.32 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
デポルティーボ・メルロ win29%3.45
引き分け30%3.33
スポルティーボ・イタリアーノ win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

デポルティーボ・メルロ0.99

ホーム share of expected goals 42.7%

Total expected goals2.32Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

スポルティーボ・イタリアーノ1.33

アウェイ share of expected goals 57.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

デポルティーボ・メルロ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn3Losses1ポイント6

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

スポルティーボ・イタリアーノ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
勝ち probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.99
Expected goals
1.33
デポルティーボ・メルロスポルティーボ・イタリアーノ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01デポルティーボ・メルロ signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02スポルティーボ・イタリアーノ signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

デポルティーボ・メルロ vs スポルティーボ・イタリアーノ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

デポルティーボ・メルロ 勝ち 29%,引き分け 30%,スポルティーボ・イタリアーノ 勝ち 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.32 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー