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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラBメトロポリターナ · Round 28 ·

CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ vs エスクルシオニタス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利29%
引き分け32%
アウェイ勝利39%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CAブラウン・デ・アドログエエスクルシオニタス
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
29% / 32% / 39%試合結果アウェイ勝利39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ win (29%)ダブルチャンスX271%1.41
オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%Goals 2.5アンダー70%1.43
はい 35% · いいえ 65%両チーム得点いいえ65%1.54
1.91 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCAブラウン・デ・アドログエ winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
引き分け32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
エスクルシオニタス win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ0.68

ホーム share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%

エスクルシオニタス1.23

アウェイ share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 35% · いいえ 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

エスクルシオニタス

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
勝ち probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.23
CAブラウン・デ・アドログエエスクルシオニタス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02エスクルシオニタス signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ vs エスクルシオニタス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CAブラウン・デ・アドログエ 勝ち 29%,引き分け 32%,エスクルシオニタス 勝ち 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · オーバー 2.5 30% · Current selection アンダー