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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

CA Brown de Adrogué vs Excursionistas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit29%
Viik32%
Võõrsilvõit39%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Brown de AdroguéExcursionistas
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla70% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
29% / 32% / 39%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogué win (29%)TopeltvõimalusX271%1.41
Üle 30% · Alla 70%Goals 2.5Alla70%1.43
Jah 35% · Ei 65%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi65%1.54
1.91 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.4 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogué winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Brown de Adrogué win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
Viik32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Excursionistas win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Brown de Adrogué0.68

Kodu share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 30% · Alla 70%

Excursionistas1.23

Võõras share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 35% · Ei 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogué

1.00pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punktid5

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punktid8

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Võit probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.23
CA Brown de AdroguéExcursionistas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Brown de Adrogué signalKodu matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Brown de Adrogué vs Excursionistas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Brown de Adrogué võit 29%,Viik 32%,Excursionistas võit 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Üle 2.5 30% · Current selection Alla