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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich29%
Remíza32%
Výhra hostí39%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej70% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
29% / 32% / 39%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (29%)Dvojitá šancaX271%1.41
Viac 30% · Menej 70%Goals 2.5Menej70%1.43
Áno 35% · Nie 65%Oba tímy skórujúNie65%1.54
1.91 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogue winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Brown de Adrogue win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
Remíza32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Excursionistas win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Brown de Adrogue0.68

Domáci share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 30% · Menej 70%

Excursionistas1.23

Hostia share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 35% · Nie 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Výhra probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.23
CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Brown de Adrogue signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Brown de Adrogue výhra 29%,Remíza 32%,Excursionistas výhra 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Viac 2.5 30% · Current selection Menej