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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier29%
Uavgjort32%
Borteseier39%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
29% / 32% / 39%KampresultatBorteseier39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (29%)Dobbel sjanseX271%1.41
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Ja 35% · Nei 65%Begge lag scorerNei65%1.54
1.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogue winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Brown de Adrogue win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
Uavgjort32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Excursionistas win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Brown de Adrogue0.68

Hjemme share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

Excursionistas1.23

Borte share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 35% · Nei 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.23
CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Brown de Adrogue signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Brown de Adrogue vunnet 29%,Uavgjort 32%,Excursionistas vunnet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under