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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

ФК Браун Адроге vs Экскурсионистас

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев29%
Ничья32%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ФК Браун АдрогеЭкскурсионистас
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше70% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
29% / 32% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Браун Адроге win (29%)Двойной шансX271%1.41
Больше 30% · Меньше 70%Goals 2.5Меньше70%1.43
Да 35% · Нет 65%Обе забьютНет65%1.54
1.91 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapФК Браун Адроге winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Браун Адроге win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
Ничья32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Экскурсионистас win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Браун Адроге0.68

Хозяева share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 30% · Меньше 70%

Экскурсионистас1.23

Гости share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 35% · Нет 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Браун Адроге

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Экскурсионистас

1.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.23
ФК Браун АдрогеЭкскурсионистас
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Браун Адроге signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Экскурсионистас signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

ФК Браун Адроге vs Экскурсионистас FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Браун Адроге выигрыш 29%,Ничья 32%,Экскурсионистас выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · ТБ 2.5 30% · Current selection Меньше