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ARG Argentina Primera B Metropolitana · Round 28 ·

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.91 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local29%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante39%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante39% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Expected goals1.91Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de70% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
29% / 32% / 39%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes CA Brown de Adrogue win (29%)Doble OportunidadX271%1.41
Más de 30% · Menos de 70%Goals 2.5Menos de70%1.43
Sí 35% · No 65%Ambos equipos marcanNo65%1.54
1.91 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapCA Brown de Adrogue winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CA Brown de Adrogue win29%3.453.0029.9%-0.9 pp
Empate32%3.132.8032%0.0 pp
Excursionistas win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Brown de Adrogue0.68

Local share of expected goals 35.6%

Total expected goals1.91Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 30% · Menos de 70%

Excursionistas1.23

Visitante share of expected goals 64.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

CA Brown de Adrogue

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Excursionistas

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
29%
Ganado probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
8
0.68
Expected goals
1.23
CA Brown de AdrogueExcursionistas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Brown de Adrogue signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Brown de Adrogue vs Excursionistas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Brown de Adrogue ganada 29%,Empate 32%,Excursionistas ganada 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.91 · Más de 2.5 30% · Current selection Menos de