What is the Venados FC vs Tapatio prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 2–2 and a selected-call probability of 50%.

What are the Venados FC vs Tapatio 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC win 50%, draw 25%, and Tapatio win 26%.

How many goals are expected in Venados FC vs Tapatio?

The displayed projection is 3.93 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 75%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 · Sun, Aug 9, 07:00

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score2–23.93 expected goals

Away form

Home win50%

Draw25%

Away win26%

Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability

Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability

Projected score2–2Venados FC — Tapatio

Expected goals3.93Open match profile

Goals 2.5Over75% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes73% for the selected side

Expected corners9.3Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

50% / 25% / 26%Match resultHome win50%2.00

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33

Over 75% · Under 25%Goals 2.5Over75%1.33

Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37

3.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——

9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapTapatio winDifference+0.6 pp

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Venados FC win50%2.001.9049.5%+0.5 pp

Draw25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp

Tapatio win26%3.853.7025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.26

Home share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals3.93Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 75% · Under 25%

Tapatio1.67

Away share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

50%

Win probability excluding draw

26%

Points from supplied form

2.26

Expected goals

1.67

Venados FCTapatio

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions