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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.93 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości26%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score2–2Venados FCTapatio
Expected goals3.93Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej75% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 25% / 26%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Podwójna szansa1275.3%1.33
Powyżej 75% · Poniżej 25%Goals 2.5Powyżej75%1.33
Tak 73% · Nie 27%Obie drużyny strzeląTak73%1.37
3.93 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapTapatio winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Venados FC win50%2.001.9049.5%+0.5 pp
Remis25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Tapatio win26%3.853.7025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.26

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals3.93Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 75% · Poniżej 25%

Tapatio1.67

Goście share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 73% · Nie 27%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
1.67
Venados FCTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Venados FC vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC wygrana 50%,Remis 25%,Tapatio wygrana 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Powyżej 2.5 75% · Current selection Powyżej