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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.93 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde50%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde50% selection probability
Projected score2–2Venados FCTapatio
Expected goals3.93Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste75% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
50% / 25% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Șansă dublă1275.3%1.33
Peste 75% · Sub 25%Goals 2.5Peste75%1.33
Da 73% · Nu 27%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa73%1.37
3.93 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
9.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapTapatio winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Venados FC win50%2.001.9049.5%+0.5 pp
Egal25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Tapatio win26%3.853.7025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.26

Gazde share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals3.93Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 75% · Sub 25%

Tapatio1.67

Oaspeți share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 73% · Nu 27%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puncte5

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
1.67
Venados FCTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Venados FC vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC câștig 50%,Egal 25%,Tapatio câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Peste 2.5 75% · Current selection Peste