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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–23.93 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich50%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí26%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich50% selection probability
Projected score2–2Venados FCTapatio
Expected goals3.93Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac75% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
50% / 25% / 26%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dvojitá šanca1275.3%1.33
Viac 75% · Menej 25%Goals 2.5Viac75%1.33
Áno 73% · Nie 27%Oba tímy skórujúÁno73%1.37
3.93 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–2
9.3 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapTapatio winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Venados FC win50%2.001.9049.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Tapatio win26%3.853.7025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.26

Domáci share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals3.93Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 75% · Menej 25%

Tapatio1.67

Hostia share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitÁno 73% · Nie 27%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Výhra probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
1.67
Venados FCTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Venados FC vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC výhra 50%,Remíza 25%,Tapatio výhra 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · Viac 2.5 75% · Current selection Viac