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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.93 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem50%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem26%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem50% selection probability
Projected score2–2Venados FCTapatio
Expected goals3.93Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett75% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
50% / 25% / 26%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dupla esély1275.3%1.33
Felett 75% · Alatt 25%Goals 2.5Felett75%1.33
Igen 73% · Nem 27%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen73%1.37
3.93 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
9.3 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapTapatio winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Venados FC win50%2.001.9049.5%+0.5 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Tapatio win26%3.853.7025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.26

Hazai share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals3.93Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 75% · Alatt 25%

Tapatio1.67

Vendég share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 73% · Nem 27%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontok9

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Nyert probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
1.67
Venados FCTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Venados FC vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC nyer 50%,Döntetlen 25%,Tapatio nyer 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · 2.5 felett 75% · Current selection Felett