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MEX Mexico Liga de Expansion · Round 3 ·

Venados FC vs Tapatio

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–23.93 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır50%
Beraberlik25%
Deplasman kazanır26%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır50% selection probability
Projected score2–2Venados FCTapatio
Expected goals3.93Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst75% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet73% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
50% / 25% / 26%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Çifte Şans1275.3%1.33
Üst 75% · Alt 25%Goals 2.5Üst75%1.33
Evet 73% · Hayır 27%Karşılıklı gol varEvet73%1.37
3.93 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–2
9.3 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.3%Largest probability gapTapatio winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Venados FC win50%2.001.9049.5%+0.5 pp
Beraberlik25%4.003.7525.1%-0.1 pp
Tapatio win26%3.853.7025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Venados FC2.26

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals3.93Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 75% · Alt 25%

Tapatio1.67

Deplasman share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitEvet 73% · Hayır 27%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Venados FC

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Tapatio

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.26
Expected goals
1.67
Venados FCTapatio
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Venados FC signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tapatio signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Venados FC vs Tapatio FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Venados FC kazanç 50%,Beraberlik 25%,Tapatio kazanç 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.93 · 2.5 Üst 75% · Current selection Üst