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POL Poland III Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–0Forecast 2–1
Away form
Home win56%
Draw22%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Won
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Expected goals3.43Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 22% / 21%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win (21.2%)Double chance1X78.8%1.27
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogon-Sokol Lubaczow winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Draw22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Home share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow0.94

Away share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec win 56%,Draw 22%,Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over