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POL Polen - III Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–0Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr56%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Expected goals3.43Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
56% / 22% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win (21.2%)Dobbeltchance1X78.8%1.27
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Begge hold scorerJa56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogon-Sokol Lubaczow winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Uafgjort22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Hjemme share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow0.94

Ude share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Point9

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec vundet 56%,Uafgjort 22%,Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over