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POL Polonia - III Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–0Pronóstico 2–1
Visitante form
Victoria local56%
Empate22%
Victoria visitante21%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokół Lubaczów
Expected goals3.43Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de67% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
56% / 22% / 21%Resultado del partidoVictoria local56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów win (21.2%)Doble Oportunidad1X78.8%1.27
Más de 67% · Menos de 33%Goals 2.5Más de67%1.49
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogon-Sokół Lubaczów winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Empate22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Local share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 67% · Menos de 33%

Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów0.94

Visitante share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Ganado probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokół Lubaczów
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec ganada 56%,Empate 22%,Pogon-Sokół Lubaczów ganada 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Más de 2.5 67% · Current selection Más de