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POL Польша - Лига III · Final ·

ФК Островец-Свентокшиски vs Погонь-Сокул Любачув

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 2–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев56%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей21%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев56% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК Островец-СвентокшискиПогонь-Сокул Любачув
Expected goals3.43Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше67% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
56% / 22% / 21%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Погонь-Сокул Любачув win (21.2%)Двойной шанс1X78.8%1.27
Больше 67% · Меньше 33%Goals 2.5Больше67%1.49
Да 56% · Нет 44%Обе забьютДа56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.4 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapПогонь-Сокул Любачув winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ФК Островец-Свентокшиски win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Ничья22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Погонь-Сокул Любачув win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Островец-Свентокшиски2.49

Хозяева share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 67% · Меньше 33%

Погонь-Сокул Любачув0.94

Гости share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Нет 44%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Островец-Свентокшиски

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Погонь-Сокул Любачув

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
ФК Островец-СвентокшискиПогонь-Сокул Любачув
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Островец-Свентокшиски signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Погонь-Сокул Любачув signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

ФК Островец-Свентокшиски vs Погонь-Сокул Любачув FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Островец-Свентокшиски выигрыш 56%,Ничья 22%,Погонь-Сокул Любачув выигрыш 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · ТБ 2.5 67% · Current selection Больше