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POL Polen - III Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction review

Thuis form
Final score1–0Voorspelling 2–1
Uit form
Thuiswinst56%
Gelijkspel22%
Uitwinst21%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Expected goals3.43Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 22% / 21%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win (21.2%)Dubbele Kans1X78.8%1.27
Boven 67% · Onder 33%Goals 2.5Boven67%1.49
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogon-Sokol Lubaczow winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Gelijkspel22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Thuis share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 67% · Onder 33%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow0.94

Uit share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec gewonnen 56%,Gelijkspel 22%,Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow gewonnen 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Boven 2.5 67% · Current selection Boven