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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Wedstrijd ·

La Serena vs Cobresal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.36 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst54%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst54% selection probability
Projected score2–1La SerenaCobresal
Expected goals3.36Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven65% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 25% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cobresal win (21.5%)Dubbele Kans1X78.5%1.27
Boven 65% · Onder 35%Goals 2.5Boven65%1.54
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.36 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCobresal winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
La Serena win54%1.851.7353.7%+0.3 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Cobresal win22%4.554.3321.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

La Serena2.09

Thuis share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals3.36Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 65% · Onder 35%

Cobresal1.27

Uit share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cobresal

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.09
Expected goals
1.27
La SerenaCobresal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01La Serena signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cobresal signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

La Serena vs Cobresal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

La Serena gewonnen 54%,Gelijkspel 25%,Cobresal gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Boven 2.5 65% · Current selection Boven