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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Partida ·

La Serena vs Cobresal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–13.36 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa54%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante22%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa54% selection probability
Projected score2–1La SerenaCobresal
Expected goals3.36Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima65% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
54% / 25% / 22%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cobresal win (21.5%)Dupla Chance1X78.5%1.27
Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%Goals 2.5Acima65%1.54
Sim 64% · Não 36%Ambas as equipes marcamSim64%1.56
3.36 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCobresal winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
La Serena win54%1.851.7353.7%+0.3 pp
Empate25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Cobresal win22%4.554.3321.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

La Serena2.09

Mandante share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals3.36Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 65% · Abaixo 35%

Cobresal1.27

Visitante share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 64% · Não 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Cobresal

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.09
Expected goals
1.27
La SerenaCobresal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01La Serena signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cobresal signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

La Serena vs Cobresal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

La Serena ganhou 54%,Empate 25%,Cobresal ganhou 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Acima 2.5 65% · Current selection Acima