Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 25% / 22%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cobresal win (21.5%)Double chance1X78.5%1.27
Over 65% · Under 35%Goals 2.5Over65%1.54
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.37 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCobresal winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
La Serena win54%1.851.7353.7%+0.3 pp
Draw25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Cobresal win22%4.554.3321.5%+0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 62.3%
Total expected goals3.37Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 65% · Under 35%
Away share of expected goals 37.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLa Serena
WDLDD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchCobresal
LLWDL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
54%
Win probability excluding draw
22%6
Points from supplied form
42.10
Expected goals
1.27La SerenaCobresal
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
La Serena vs Cobresal FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
La Serena win 54%，Draw 25%，Cobresal win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.37 · Over 2.5 65% · Current selection Over。