Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 27% / 18%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nublense win (18.3%)Double chance1X81.7%1.22
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.92 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapUniversidad Catolica winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universidad Catolica win55%1.821.7353.9%+1.1 pp
Draw27%3.703.4027.4%-0.4 pp
Nublense win18%5.565.0018.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 69.9%
Total expected goals2.92Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%
Away share of expected goals 30.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchUniversidad Catolica
LDWLD
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchNublense
WDWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
18%5
Points from supplied form
112.04
Expected goals
0.88Universidad CatolicaNublense
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Universidad Catolica vs Nublense FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Universidad Catolica win 55%，Draw 27%，Nublense win 18%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.92 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over。