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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Final ·

Universidad Catolica vs Nublense

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–2Prognose 2–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr55%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr18%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 55% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Universidad CatolicaNublense
Expected goals2.92Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
55% / 27% / 18%KampresultatHjemmesejr55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Nublense win (18.3%)Dobbeltchance1X81.7%1.22
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Begge hold scorerJa51%1.96
2.92 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.6 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapUniversidad Catolica winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Universidad Catolica win55%1.821.7353.9%+1.1 pp
Uafgjort27%3.703.4027.4%-0.4 pp
Nublense win18%5.565.0018.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Universidad Catolica2.04

Hjemme share of expected goals 69.9%

Total expected goals2.92Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Nublense0.88

Ude share of expected goals 30.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Universidad Catolica

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Nublense

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Vundet probability excluding draw
18%
5
Points from supplied form
11
2.04
Expected goals
0.88
Universidad CatolicaNublense
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Universidad Catolica signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Nublense signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Universidad Catolica vs Nublense FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Universidad Catolica vundet 55%,Uafgjort 27%,Nublense vundet 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.92 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over