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INT Chile Liga de Primera · Meci ·

La Serena vs Cobresal

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–13.36 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde54%
Egal25%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde54% selection probability
Projected score2–1La SerenaCobresal
Expected goals3.36Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste65% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
54% / 25% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cobresal win (21.5%)Șansă dublă1X78.5%1.27
Peste 65% · Sub 35%Goals 2.5Peste65%1.54
Da 64% · Nu 36%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa64%1.56
3.36 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.6%Largest probability gapCobresal winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
La Serena win54%1.851.7353.7%+0.3 pp
Egal25%4.003.7524.8%+0.2 pp
Cobresal win22%4.554.3321.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

La Serena2.09

Gazde share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals3.36Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 65% · Sub 35%

Cobresal1.27

Oaspeți share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 64% · Nu 36%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Cobresal

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
4
2.09
Expected goals
1.27
La SerenaCobresal
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01La Serena signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cobresal signalOaspeți matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

La Serena vs Cobresal FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

La Serena câștig 54%,Egal 25%,Cobresal câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.36 · Peste 2.5 65% · Current selection Peste