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POL Lengyelország - III Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score1–0Előrejelzés 2–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem56%
Döntetlen22%
Vendég győzelem21%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Expected goals3.43Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett67% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
56% / 22% / 21%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win (21.2%)Dupla esély1X78.8%1.27
Felett 67% · Alatt 33%Goals 2.5Felett67%1.49
Igen 56% · Nem 44%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
10.4 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogon-Sokol Lubaczow winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Döntetlen22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Hazai share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 67% · Alatt 33%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow0.94

Vendég share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 56% · Nem 44%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontok9

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Nyert probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec nyer 56%,Döntetlen 22%,Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow nyer 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · 2.5 felett 67% · Current selection Felett