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POL Pologne - III Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–0Pronostic 2–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile56%
Nul22%
Victoire à l’extérieur21%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Expected goals3.43Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
56% / 22% / 21%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win (21.2%)Double chance1X78.8%1.27
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 56% · Non 44%Les deux équipes marquentOui56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.4 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogon-Sokol Lubaczow winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Nul22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Domicile share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow0.94

Extérieur share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 56% · Non 44%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gagné probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec victoire 56%,Nul 22%,Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow victoire 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de