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POL Poland III Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score1–0Tahmin 2–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır56%
Beraberlik22%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Kazandı
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Expected goals3.43Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst67% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
56% / 22% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win (21.2%)Çifte Şans1X78.8%1.27
Üst 67% · Alt 33%Goals 2.5Üst67%1.49
Evet 56% · Hayır 44%Karşılıklı gol varEvet56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
10.4 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogon-Sokol Lubaczow winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Beraberlik22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 67% · Alt 33%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow0.94

Deplasman share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 56% · Hayır 44%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec kazanç 56%,Beraberlik 22%,Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · 2.5 Üst 67% · Current selection Üst