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POL Polska - 3. Liga · Final ·

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

Prediction review

Gospodarze form
Final score1–0Prognoza 2–1
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy56%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości21%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 56% selection probability
Prediction Trafiony
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy56% selection probability
Projected score2–1KSZO OstrowiecPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Expected goals3.43Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej67% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
56% / 22% / 21%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win (21.2%)Podwójna szansa1X78.8%1.27
Powyżej 67% · Poniżej 33%Goals 2.5Powyżej67%1.49
Tak 56% · Nie 44%Obie drużyny strzeląTak56%1.79
3.43 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
10.4 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.4%Largest probability gapPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów winDifference-1.2 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KSZO Ostrowiec win56%1.791.6254.9%+1.1 pp
Remis22%4.553.9022.8%-0.8 pp
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów win21%4.764.0022.2%-1.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KSZO Ostrowiec2.49

Gospodarze share of expected goals 72.6%

Total expected goals3.43Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 67% · Poniżej 33%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów0.94

Goście share of expected goals 27.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 56% · Nie 44%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

KSZO Ostrowiec

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
21%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.49
Expected goals
0.94
KSZO OstrowiecPogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KSZO Ostrowiec signalGospodarze unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KSZO Ostrowiec wygrana 56%,Remis 22%,Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów wygrana 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.43 · Powyżej 2.5 67% · Current selection Powyżej