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INT Chile - Liga de Primera · Partido ·

Deportes Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local33%
Empate32%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportes ConcepciónCoquimbo Unido
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de64% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
33% / 32% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.7%)Doble Oportunidad1268.3%1.46
Más de 36% · Menos de 64%Goals 2.5Menos de64%1.56
Sí 43% · No 57%Ambos equipos marcanNo57%1.75
2.12 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Deportes Concepción win33%3.03
Empate32%3.13
Coquimbo Unido win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Concepción1.03

Local share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 36% · Menos de 64%

Coquimbo Unido1.09

Visitante share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Deportes Concepción

3.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Puntos15

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Coquimbo Unido

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puntos4

SignalLocal clean sheets: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
15
Points from supplied form
4
1.03
Expected goals
1.09
Deportes ConcepciónCoquimbo Unido
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Concepción signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Coquimbo Unido signalLocal clean sheets: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Deportes Concepción vs Coquimbo Unido FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Concepción ganada 33%,Empate 32%,Coquimbo Unido ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Más de 2.5 36% · Current selection Menos de