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Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.13 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw23%
Away win53%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Expected goals3.13Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 23% / 53%Match resultAway win53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Double chance1276.9%1.30
Over 61% · Under 39%Goals 2.5Over61%1.64
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
3.13 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
11.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapParnu JK Vaprus winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus win24%4.173.8023.8%+0.2 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
FC Flora Tallinn win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parnu JK Vaprus1.16

Home share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals3.13Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 61% · Under 39%

FC Flora Tallinn1.97

Away share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.16
Expected goals
1.97
Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parnu JK Vaprus signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Flora Tallinn signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parnu JK Vaprus win 24%,Draw 23%,FC Flora Tallinn win 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Over 2.5 61% · Current selection Over