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EST Estónia - Meistriliiga · Partida ·

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–23.13 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa24%
Empate23%
Vitória visitante53%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Expected goals3.13Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima61% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
24% / 23% / 53%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Dupla Chance1276.9%1.30
Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%Goals 2.5Acima61%1.64
Sim 59% · Não 41%Ambas as equipes marcamSim59%1.69
3.13 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–2
11.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapParnu JK Vaprus winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus win24%4.173.8023.8%+0.2 pp
Empate23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
FC Flora Tallinn win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parnu JK Vaprus1.16

Mandante share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals3.13Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 61% · Abaixo 39%

FC Flora Tallinn1.97

Visitante share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitSim 59% · Não 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.16
Expected goals
1.97
Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parnu JK Vaprus signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Flora Tallinn signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parnu JK Vaprus ganhou 24%,Empate 23%,FC Flora Tallinn ganhou 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Acima 2.5 61% · Current selection Acima