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EST Estland - Meistriliiga · Spiel ·

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.13 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg24%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg53%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 53% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg53% selection probability
Projected score1–2Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Expected goals3.13Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
24% / 23% / 53%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.1%)Doppelte Chance1276.9%1.30
Über 61% · Unter 39%Goals 2.5Über61%1.64
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
3.13 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
11.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapParnu JK Vaprus winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Parnu JK Vaprus win24%4.173.8023.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden23%4.353.9023.1%-0.1 pp
FC Flora Tallinn win53%1.891.7053.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Parnu JK Vaprus1.16

Heim share of expected goals 37.1%

Total expected goals3.13Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 61% · Unter 39%

FC Flora Tallinn1.97

Auswärts share of expected goals 62.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Parnu JK Vaprus

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Flora Tallinn

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
53%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.16
Expected goals
1.97
Parnu JK VaprusFC Flora Tallinn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Parnu JK Vaprus signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Flora Tallinn signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Parnu JK Vaprus vs FC Flora Tallinn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Parnu JK Vaprus Gewinn 24%,Unentschieden 23%,FC Flora Tallinn Gewinn 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.13 · Über 2.5 61% · Current selection Über