Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
14% / 19% / 67%Match resultAway win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (13.9%)Double chanceX286.1%1.16
Over 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Over68%1.47
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCeltic winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kilmarnock win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Draw19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Celtic win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 36.2%
Total expected goals3.48Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 68% · Under 32%
Away share of expected goals 63.8%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchKilmarnock
LWWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchCeltic
WDLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
14%
Win probability excluding draw
67%10
Points from supplied form
101.26
Expected goals
2.22KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.
Match questions
Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Kilmarnock win 14%，Draw 19%，Celtic win 67%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.48 · Over 2.5 68% · Current selection Over。