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SCO Škótsko - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich14%
Remíza19%
Výhra hostí67%
Full model forecastVýhra hostíTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostí67% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.48Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac68% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
14% / 19% / 67%Výsledok zápasuVýhra hostí67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (13.9%)Dvojitá šancaX286.1%1.16
Viac 68% · Menej 32%Goals 2.5Viac68%1.47
Áno 64% · Nie 36%Oba tímy skórujúÁno64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–2
10.1 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCeltic winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kilmarnock win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Remíza19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Celtic win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.26

Domáci share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals3.48Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 68% · Menej 32%

Celtic2.22

Hostia share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitÁno 64% · Nie 36%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Výhra probability excluding draw
67%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
2.22
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalDomáci clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostí · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock výhra 14%,Remíza 19%,Celtic výhra 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Viac 2.5 68% · Current selection Viac