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SCO Scotland Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır14%
Beraberlik19%
Deplasman kazanır67%
Full model forecastDeplasman kazanırTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDeplasman kazanır67% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.48Açılış match profile
Goals 2.5Üst68% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
14% / 19% / 67%Maç sonucuDeplasman kazanır67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (13.9%)Çifte ŞansX286.1%1.16
Üst 68% · Alt 32%Goals 2.5Üst68%1.47
Evet 64% · Hayır 36%Karşılıklı gol varEvet64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–2
10.1 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCeltic winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kilmarnock win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Beraberlik19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Celtic win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.26

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals3.48Açılış

Dedicated goals model: Üst 68% · Alt 32%

Celtic2.22

Deplasman share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitEvet 64% · Hayır 36%Match profileAçılış
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puan10

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
67%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
2.22
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalEv Sahibi unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Deplasman kazanır · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock kazanç 14%,Beraberlik 19%,Celtic kazanç 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · 2.5 Üst 68% · Current selection Üst