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SCO Escocia - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local14%
Empate19%
Victoria visitante67%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante67% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.48Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de68% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
14% / 19% / 67%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (13.9%)Doble OportunidadX286.1%1.16
Más de 68% · Menos de 32%Goals 2.5Más de68%1.47
Sí 64% · No 36%Ambos equipos marcan64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–2
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCeltic winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kilmarnock win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Empate19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Celtic win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.26

Local share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals3.48Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 68% · Menos de 32%

Celtic2.22

Visitante share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 64% · No 36%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puntos10

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Ganado probability excluding draw
67%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
2.22
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock ganada 14%,Empate 19%,Celtic ganada 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Más de 2.5 68% · Current selection Más de