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SCO Schottland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg14%
Unentschieden19%
Auswärtssieg67%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg67% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.48Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
14% / 19% / 67%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (13.9%)Doppelte ChanceX286.1%1.16
Über 68% · Unter 32%Goals 2.5Über68%1.47
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCeltic winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kilmarnock win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Unentschieden19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Celtic win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.26

Heim share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals3.48Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 68% · Unter 32%

Celtic2.22

Auswärts share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
67%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
2.22
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock Gewinn 14%,Unentschieden 19%,Celtic Gewinn 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Über 2.5 68% · Current selection Über