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SCO Scotland Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng14%
Hòa19%
Đội khách thắng67%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng67% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.48Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài68% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
14% / 19% / 67%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (13.9%)Cơ hội képX286.1%1.16
Tài 68% · Xỉu 32%Goals 2.5Tài68%1.47
Có 64% · Không 36%Cả hai đội ghi bàn64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–2
10.1 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCeltic winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kilmarnock win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Hòa19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Celtic win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.26

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals3.48Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 68% · Xỉu 32%

Celtic2.22

Khách share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS split 64% · Không 36%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Thắng probability excluding draw
67%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
2.22
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalChủ nhà clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock thắng 14%,Hòa 19%,Celtic thắng 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Tài 2.5 68% · Current selection Tài