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SCO Skottland - Premiership · Round 1 ·

Kilmarnock vs Celtic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger14%
Oavgjort19%
Bortaseger67%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger67% selection probability
Projected score1–2KilmarnockCeltic
Expected goals3.48Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över68% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
14% / 19% / 67%MatchresultatBortaseger67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kilmarnock win (13.9%)DubbelchansX286.1%1.16
Över 68% · Under 32%Goals 2.5Över68%1.47
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Båda lagen gör målJa64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.1 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapCeltic winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Kilmarnock win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Oavgjort19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Celtic win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Kilmarnock1.26

Hemma share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals3.48Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 68% · Under 32%

Celtic2.22

Borta share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Kilmarnock

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Celtic

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
67%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
2.22
KilmarnockCeltic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Kilmarnock signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Celtic signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Kilmarnock vs Celtic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Kilmarnock vunnen 14%,Oavgjort 19%,Celtic vunnen 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · Över 2.5 68% · Current selection Över