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SCO Шотландия - Премьершип · Round 1 ·

Килмарнок vs Селтик

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–23.48 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев14%
Ничья19%
Победа гостей67%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей67% selection probability
Projected score1–2КилмарнокСелтик
Expected goals3.48Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше68% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
14% / 19% / 67%Исход матчаПобеда гостей67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Килмарнок win (13.9%)Двойной шансX286.1%1.16
Больше 68% · Меньше 32%Goals 2.5Больше68%1.47
Да 64% · Нет 36%Обе забьютДа64%1.56
3.48 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapСелтик winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Килмарнок win14%7.147.0013.4%+0.6 pp
Ничья19%5.265.0018.7%+0.3 pp
Селтик win67%1.491.3867.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Килмарнок1.26

Хозяева share of expected goals 36.2%

Total expected goals3.48Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 68% · Меньше 32%

Селтик2.22

Гости share of expected goals 63.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 64% · Нет 36%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Килмарнок

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Селтик

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
14%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
67%
10
Points from supplied form
10
1.26
Expected goals
2.22
КилмарнокСелтик
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Килмарнок signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Селтик signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Килмарнок vs Селтик FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Килмарнок выигрыш 14%,Ничья 19%,Селтик выигрыш 67%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.48 · ТБ 2.5 68% · Current selection Больше