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INT 厄瓜多爾足球甲組聯賽 · 比賽 ·

瓜亞基爾 vs 艾美歷

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.86 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝34%
31%
客勝35%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝35% selection probability
Projected score1–1瓜亞基爾艾美歷
Expected goals1.86Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.571% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
34% / 31% / 35%比賽結果客勝35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.6%)雙重機會1269.4%1.44
大 29% · 小 71%Goals 2.571%1.41
是 35% · 否 65%雙方進球65%1.54
1.86 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.0 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gap艾美歷 winDifference-1.5 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
瓜亞基爾 win34%2.942.7533.1%+0.9 pp
31%3.233.0030.4%+0.6 pp
艾美歷 win35%2.862.5036.5%-1.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

瓜亞基爾1.14

主隊 share of expected goals 61.3%

Total expected goals1.86Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 29% · 71%

艾美歷0.72

客隊 share of expected goals 38.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

瓜亞基爾

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

艾美歷

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
贏 probability excluding draw
35%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.14
Expected goals
0.72
瓜亞基爾艾美歷
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01瓜亞基爾 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02艾美歷 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

瓜亞基爾 vs 艾美歷 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

瓜亞基爾 34%, 31%,艾美歷 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.86 · 大2.5 29% · Current selection