MatchFormula 尋找比賽
Menu
UTC+8
時區Asia/Shanghai
繁體中文
INT 厄瓜多爾足球甲組聯賽 · 比賽 ·

德芬 vs 奧連斯

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–11.84 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝27%
33%
客勝40%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝40% selection probability
Projected score1–1德芬奧連斯
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.572% for the selected side
雙方進球65% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
27% / 33% / 40%比賽結果客勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 德芬 win (26.8%)雙重機會X273.2%1.37
大 28% · 小 72%Goals 2.572%1.39
是 35% · 否 65%雙方進球65%1.54
1.84 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.1 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
德芬 win27%3.70
33%3.03
奧連斯 win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

德芬0.74

主隊 share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 28% · 72%

奧連斯1.10

客隊 share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 35% · 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

德芬

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

奧連斯

0.60pts / match
5Wins1Drawn0Losses4積分3

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
贏 probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
3
0.74
Expected goals
1.10
德芬奧連斯
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01德芬 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02奧連斯 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

德芬 vs 奧連斯 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

德芬 27%, 33%,奧連斯 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · 大2.5 28% · Current selection