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INT 厄瓜多爾足球甲組聯賽 · 比賽 ·

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 vs 馬卡拉

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.01 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝36%
32%
客勝32%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝36% selection probability
Projected score1–1瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那馬卡拉
Expected goals2.01Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.568% for the selected side
雙方進球60% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
36% / 32% / 32%比賽結果主勝36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 馬卡拉 win (31.6%)雙重機會1X68.4%1.46
大 32% · 小 68%Goals 2.568%1.47
是 40% · 否 60%雙方進球60%1.67
2.01 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.2 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 win36%2.78
32%3.13
馬卡拉 win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那1.07

主隊 share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.01Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 32% · 68%

馬卡拉0.94

客隊 share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 40% · 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那

1.00pts / match
5Wins1Drawn2Losses2積分5

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

馬卡拉

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
贏 probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
12
1.07
Expected goals
0.94
瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那馬卡拉
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02馬卡拉 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 vs 馬卡拉 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

瓜亞基爾巴塞羅那 36%, 32%,馬卡拉 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.01 · 大2.5 32% · Current selection